Situation

The impact of large individual tax deposits resulted in budget receipts of $383.6 billion and a
surplus of $177.7 bn for Apr’07

Fiscal deficit as a % of Real GDP stood at - 6.17% at the end of Q1 2007 ( Q1 always tends to have the worst fiscal situation as a % of GDP)

Background ( click on image for a larger visual)

  • April always tend to have the largest monthly surplus of the year.
  • Within this - this $177.7 bn has been the largest surplus since Apr’01 ( $ 189.8 bn )
  • Since 1980 this is the second highest monthly surplus ( after Apr’01) 
  • As can be seen in the image the savings rate has steadily improved along with the improvement in the fiscal situation

 Conclusion ( click on image for a larger visual)

  1. Q2 always tends to have the best fiscal situation (Q2 for both 2005 and 2006 were at a fiscal surplus)
  2. We can expect the surplus as a % of GDP to be to be towards a 4.50% for Q2 2007.

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