Situation

  • On a monthly basis production remained flat  ( contracted by -0.20 %  in Apr’07)
  • On a yearly basis production has grown by  0.40 % p.a ( contracted by -0.40  % p.a in Apr’07)

 

Background

  • Bank of England has hiked the interest rates for the  4th  time since Aug’06 to 5.50%.
  • GDP growth rate for Q1 2007 is at 2.86% p.a ( 2.90% p.a in Q4 2006)
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    Conclusion ( click on image for a better visual) 

    • Expected growth of between 0.70 % p.a to -0.70% p.a towards Sept’07
    • Expected growth of between 0.50 % p.a to -2.00% p.a  from Sept 2007 towards Mid 2008

     

     

     

    Related links

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