Situation

  • On a monthly basis production contracted by -0.45%  ( grew by 2.85% in Mar’07)
  • On a yearly basis production has grown by 9.03% p.a ( grew by 10.17 % p.a in Mar’07)

 

Background

  • Production has been on a downward growth trend since May’06 ( 5.64% p.a in May’06 and 3.06% p.a now)
  • The ECB raised interest rates to 4.00% on June 6 2007

 

Conclusion  (click on image for a better visual)

  • Orders likely to drop initially towards 4.5.% p.a and then retain a range between 4.50% p.a - 9.50% p.a towards Sept’07
  • Growth then likely to drop to a 0% p.a after Sept ‘07 towards Mid ‘08

 

 

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